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><which is why I deliberately left out all newer threads that failed to reach 100 posts in my dataset to prove this
Yeah, I don't really know why I did the hundred posts thing lol. I think my rationale was that it showed the pattern more clearly since the threads that don't just fall to zero after the first month, or maybe it was to show that old threads still show the exact same pattern of their first month or two being the strongest. In any case, it really isn't that important because the pattern is the same for just about all threads regardless
><it's also randomly selected based on criteria except one thread I want to specifically include despite it breaking my criteria because it benefits my point but it's randomly selected
It was randomly selected as far as me just scrolling through and picking one that match. The one outlier was really just an accident because I miscalculated, but I already included it in the dataset so I thought it would be dishonest to take it out especially since it's actually the strongest counterexample.
><also this is the only metric toward the value of a thread; and mesures such as post length, unique words, average word length, average filesize attached, average #images attached or replycount are irrelevant (the only thing that matters is postrate) (we should be envious of the innate ultra-high value of the sharty's /soy/ board at 10,000+ PPD spam)
Some of those are important, some of those seem kind of random, but to have any kind of community you need frequency. I am not even talking about posts per day, dude, I'm literally talking about posts per month and I would be happy with that.
>Also, you're completely ignoring threads discussing topical current-events (eg Silent Hill) that reach 200-300 posts in a week and then just wait to die, and extrapolating their data to the discussion in long-term rolling near-archival threads that would impacted the most by a bumplock cap.
I think you made a mistake citing Silent Hill since that was not one of the topical threads, but if you want to talk about a near-archival thread like the soundtrack thread that only reached twenty posts for the first time in five years after a late night dump, then yeah, that thread exhibits the exact same trend too by peaking in the first month back in 2020. If anything, your takeaway should be that outside external events, the only thing that raises post count is how recently a thread was created.
I hope my 2515 character post was enough quality for you :)